Philip Sadler
Philip Sadler
Role : Senior Fellow
Organization : Tomorrow's Company

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Casino economy - the origins
posted by Philip Sadler  on October 20, 2008

In Tomorrows Company’s  recent timely report Tomorrows Owners the authors described the global economic system as consisting of three sub-systems – the real economy, engaged in the production of goods and services, the financial economy, providing capital to the real economy and the ‘casino economy’ of speculative activity. In the weeks since the launch of the report, as the current financial crisis has developed, many commentators around the world have attributed blame for the crisis to Anglo-American casino capitalism.

 

 The  idea of a  ‘casino economy’ is not new and it has strong academic foundations, possibly the first person to liken speculative activity to a casino was John Maynard Keynes in his seminal work The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money.


Comments on the financial crisis
posted by Philip Sadler  on September 23, 2008

The crisis has been a ‘perfect storm’ i.e. a catastrophe resulting from the coming together of a number of negative factors all driving in the same direction. I am usually TC’s historian so my first point is to remind you that this is the fourth time in 100 years that the US government has had to step in to save Wall Street (and the rest of the world) from financial meltdown.


Cows, chickens and the casino economy
posted by Philip Sadler  on October 15, 2008

In a recent interview with the German newspaper Spiegel, Nobel Prizewinner Muhamud Yunus expressed the view that capitalism has degenerated into a casino. The financial markets, he said, are propelled by greed and speculation has reached catastrophic proportions. It was put to him that the current financial crisis began as a credit crisis -- homeowners in the US could no longer pay down their mortgages while at his Grameen Bank, which provides microloans, the repayment rate is close to 100 percent. Did he think his bank could be a model for the entire finance world? He replied that the fundamental difference was that his business was very connected to the real economy. “When we provide a loan of $200, that money will go to buy a cow somewhere. If we lend $100, someone will maybe buy some chickens. In other words, the money goes to something with concrete value. Finance and the real economy have to be connected. In the US, the financial system has completely split off from the real economy. Castles were built in the sky, and suddenly people realized that these castles don't exist at all. That was the point at which the financial system collapsed.”


It is a long, long time from April to October (with apologies to Anderson and Weill)
posted by Philip Sadler  on August 9, 2010

Regulation of the capital markets around the world changed radically following the stock market crash in 1929. The unprecedented fall in share prices largely reflected the massive loss of confidence in the quality of information made available by companies and the brokerage houses that sold their stock. Governments responded by enlisting the accounting profession to help restore that lost confidence. Publicly-traded companies were required to report regularly on their financial condition in conformance with what have come to be known as “generally accepted accounting principles” GAAP). Governments required publicly-traded companies to engage audit professionals to attest to the fact that the information presented by company management actually did conform to those principles.

However, the world has changed dramatically in many different ways since the 1930s. Among other things, increasing globalisation has meant that the economies of different countries are much more closely linked — by trade and capital flows — than ever before. Technological change, especially in vastly improved communications, has led to information becoming both widely and instantaneously available.


System change - lessons from the past
posted by Philip Sadler  on July 4, 2011

From the inception of the slave trade in the early 16th century up to the early 19th century some 11million slaves were transported from West Africa to the Caribbean or the Americas.
The countries involved were Portugal, Spain, France, Holland and Britain. The practice played a major economic role for these countries involving a triangular trade, made up of exports to Africa, (iron goods, weapons and textiles) slaves out to the West Indies and the Americas, sugar tobacco, and spices back to Britain and the other countries involved. The trade was a major source of prosperity to Liverpool, London and Bristol. It provided a powerful stimulus to the shipbuilding and shipping industries

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